Bafétimbi Gomis

The news that Mame Biram Diouf has picked up a hamstring problem means I need to look at alternative forward options in case he is ruled out.

One option I have to consider is Bafétimbi Gomis. He has started the season in great form and seen more than 650,000 net transfers in, which has increased his price 0.4 to 7.4m and his ownership to 23.5 per cent.

Bafétimbi Gomis perfomance to GW4

Infographic shows Bafétimbi Gomis’ performance in 2015/16 and by gameweek

Gomis has scored four goals in four games, making him the current joint top goal scorer with Riyad Mahrez and Callum Wilson.

Like Wilson, Gomis is converting shots on target at a rate (57 per cent) that looks ripe for regression, but the number of shots on target he has hit (7) places him joint second among forwards.

Gomis has taken a lot of shots and most of them have been in the box, which is good to see. Furthermore, he has been pretty consistent at getting opportunities to shoot each match, except for Newcastle (one shot, one goal).

Swansea’s upcoming schedule (wat, EVE, sot, TOT, STO, avl) is neither the toughest nor the easiest.

Gomis looks a good transfer even if he doesn’t keep up his goal-a-game strike rate. What I will have to ponder is whether I want to double up on the Swansea attack given André Ayew already sits in my midfield.

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6 thoughts on “Bafétimbi Gomis

  1. Balders says:

    My biggest concern about Gomis is not his potential regression, which seems obvious, but the fact he has 1 bonus point from 4 goals. Meanwhile Ayew, who’s baseline stats are comparable, has already picked up 6 bonus points in these first 4 games.

    I know this is digressing from the Diouf conversation but if you’re looking at swans options, I’d have to recommend Ayew for the prospect of bonus points on top of the midfield clean sheet and extra point per goal prospects.

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    • It is fair to say that I could give more attention to bonus points. I would be more worried though if Gomis wasn’t picking up high bps figures, but he is the top striker in the game for bps. The issue may be more systemic than Gomis alone. There could be value in running some sort of analysis to see if the system works against strikers who score little and often, like Gomis this season and Costa last season.

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