Save percentages: Post-Gameweek 12 update

In the last international break I looked at goalkeeper save percentages as I had hardly seen this statistic mentioned in relation to Fantasy Premier League play. I’ve used the time afforded by the latest international break to update my save percentages chart.

Following my research on the penalty taker’s advantage, which showed the vastly superior conversion rate for penalties compared to shots on target from regular play, I’ve modified the chart to remove from the calculations all penalties conceded and saved.  I thought this would give a fairer indication of baseline performance. The biggest culprits for conceding penalties have been Bournemouth, Sunderland and Norwich, which have each conceded three. The biggest beneficiaries have been Leicester, with five goals from five spot kicks, and Crystal Palace, with three goals from three penalties.

Goalkeeper save percentages GW1-12 2015-16

Bournemouth have conceded the joint-sixth lowest number of shots on target this season, but they are the second worst team for goals conceded. From the chart, it appears the goalkeepers have to take some of the blame. Adam Federici is the only keeper in the league to have conceded more than half of the shots hit towards his goal. To be fair, he has only played 270 minutes, including 90 minutes against Manchester City, so the sample size is small and contains one of the most potent opposition attacks he could have faced. The man he replaced, Artur Boruc, has only saved 10 per cent more chances and is the lowest ranked regular starting goalkeeper in the Premier League.

Meanwhile, at the other end of the chart, Jack Butland has slightly improved his save percentage from just under 80 per cent to just over 80 per cent in the last four gameweeks. In the last five weeks, the Stoke City goalie has delivered four clean sheets and 34 FPL points for his owners. Petr Cech has kept up his strong performances for Arsenal and Robert Elliot has settled into the Newcastle goal, recording clean back-to-back clean sheets in the last two weeks.

As predicted, Wayne Hennessey’s 100 per cent save record of four weeks ago has regressed. His save percentage is now below that of Alex McCarthy, the man he replaced between the sticks for Crystal Palace, having played the same number of minutes. However, with Hennessey grabbing three clean sheets to McCarthy’s none, I doubt manager Alan Pardew will be in any rush to make changes.

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